L’École des cotes

San Diego Padres v Detroit Tigers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 01:41 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prévision 54.84%1.82cote équitable
EV +0.349%
Avantage +0.191%
Kelly +0.421%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.59%54.77%54.69%55.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.741.741.8360.24%57.38%57.47%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Detroit Tigers (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.16%2.21cote équitable
EV +0.265%
Avantage +0.119%
Kelly +0.217%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.22%45.23%45.31%48.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.102.102.2251.55%47.52%47.62%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV +0.349%E +0.191%K +0.421%G +0.001%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -11.93%E -6.12%K -12.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 01:35
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.30%E -0.720%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 17:24
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 23:40
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.54%E -0.707%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-27 23:10
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 22:30
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:30
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 19:50
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV +0.265%E +0.119%K +0.217%G +0.001%1.9%2026-03-28 01:20
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.187%E -0.084%K -0.154%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-28 01:35
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -0.638%E -0.290%K -0.532%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-28 01:20
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -0.638%E -0.290%K -0.532%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-28 01:20
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -0.638%E -0.290%K -0.532%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-28 01:24
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 22:40
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.51%E -3.14%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 20:35
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.51%E -3.14%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 20:35
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:30
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:30
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:30
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:30
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 00:20
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:10
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 00:20
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 00:45
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 20:40
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 17:24
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 01:35
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 20:39
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 20:40
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 20:40
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.35%E -1.56%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 01:33
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 22:40
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:40
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:40
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 22:30
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 22:30
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:40
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:40
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:40
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:00
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 00:20
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 21:00
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 21:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 21:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:00
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.41%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 23:15
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 01:30
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 01:40
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 01:40
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.41%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-28 01:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.41%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-28 01:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%EV -8.97%E -5.41%K -13.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -12.38%E -6.38%K -13.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-28 01:25
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%EV -8.97%E -5.41%K -13.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -12.38%E -6.38%K -13.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-28 01:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-03-28 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-03-28 01:40
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-03-28 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-03-28 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-03-28 01:35
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-28 01:25
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-03-28 01:40
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-03-28 01:10
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-03-28 01:40
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-03-28 01:40