Language:English
San Diego Padres v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 55.41%1.80fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.773%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%55.34%55.42%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.731.7860.61%58.00%57.80%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 44.59%2.24fair odd
EV +0.335%
Edge +0.149%
Kelly +0.268%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.66%44.58%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.64%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 55.41%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 44.59%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.335%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.335%E +0.149%K +0.268%G +0.001% | 1.9% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.335%E +0.149%K +0.268%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.557%E -0.250%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-09 01:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.92%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.557%E -0.250%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-09 01:38 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.45%E -0.656%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-09 01:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.45%E -0.656%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-09 01:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.45%E -0.656%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.89%E -0.861%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-09 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.89%E -0.861%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.92%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.89%E -0.861%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.89%E -0.861%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.34%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-09 00:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.48%E -1.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.79%E -1.28%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-09 01:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.79%E -1.28%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -3.23%E -1.49%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 01:37 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-09 01:38 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.48%E -1.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-08 23:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-08 12:26 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-08 12:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-09 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-09 00:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-08 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-08 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-09 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-09 00:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-08 23:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-08 23:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-08 23:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-08 23:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-08 23:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-08 23:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-08 23:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-09 00:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-09 01:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-08 19:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 23:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 23:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 23:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 23:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.46%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-08 13:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.46%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-08 13:38 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.92%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.46%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-08 23:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 00:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-08 11:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 12:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 11:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.92%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.38%E -0.773%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.25%E -3.48%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.25%E -3.48%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.48%E -1.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.69%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-09 00:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.48%E -1.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.69%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-09 00:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.58%E -4.19%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.58%E -4.19%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 01:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-09 01:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60% | 0.2% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-06-08 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-06-09 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.7% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62% | 3.8% | 2026-06-09 01:39 |