La escuela de los momios

San Diego Padres v Cincinnati Reds

Inicio: 2026-06-09 01:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 6–2 Cincinnati Reds

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 55.41%1.80momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.773%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.33%55.34%55.42%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.731.7860.61%58.00%57.80%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Predicción 44.59%2.24momio equitativo
EV +0.335%
Ventaja +0.149%
Kelly +0.268%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.66%44.58%46.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.64%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.335%E +0.149%K +0.268%G +0.001%1.9%2026-06-09 01:39
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.335%E +0.149%K +0.268%G +0.001%3.6%2026-06-09 01:39
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.557%E -0.250%K -0.453%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-09 01:19
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.92%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.557%E -0.250%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-09 01:38
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.45%E -0.656%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-09 01:19
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.45%E -0.656%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-09 01:19
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.45%E -0.656%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-09 01:39
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.89%E -0.861%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-09 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.89%E -0.861%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 01:39
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.92%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.89%E -0.861%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 01:39
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.89%E -0.861%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 01:39
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.34%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-09 00:29
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.48%E -1.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.79%E -1.28%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-09 01:29
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.79%E -1.28%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 01:39
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -3.23%E -1.49%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 01:37
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-09 01:38
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.48%E -1.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-08 23:19
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-08 12:26
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-08 12:08
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 00:29
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 23:09
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 00:29
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 23:19
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 23:19
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 23:19
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 23:19
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 23:19
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 23:20
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 01:39
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 01:39
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:59
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 00:29
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 01:39
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-09 01:38
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 01:39
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-08 19:29
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 01:39
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 23:19
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 23:19
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 23:19
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 23:19
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.46%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 13:39
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.46%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 13:38
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.92%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.46%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-08 23:19
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 00:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 11:29
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 01:39
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 12:39
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:39
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:39
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 11:09
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.92%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.35%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 01:39
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.38%E -0.773%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.25%E -3.48%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 01:39
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.25%E -3.48%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 01:39
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.48%E -1.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.69%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 00:29
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.48%E -1.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.69%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 00:29
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.58%E -4.19%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 01:39
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.58%E -4.19%K -8.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 01:19
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 01:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60%0.2%2026-06-09 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-06-09 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-06-09 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-06-09 01:39
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-09 01:39
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-09 01:39
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-08 22:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-09 01:10
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-06-09 01:39
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%3.8%2026-06-09 01:39