Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.61
assuming max odds 2.53
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 60.85%; Athletics (Visit): 39.15%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.53, with an expected value of -0.943%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.04%E -1.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -1.73%E -0.688%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.04%E -1.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.90%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 19:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.943%E -0.373%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-24 20:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.33%E -0.529%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-24 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.33%E -0.529%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-24 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -1.73%E -0.688%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 20:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -1.73%E -0.688%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -2.51%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-24 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 20:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.25%E -2.05%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 13:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.25%E -2.05%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 19:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.86%E -2.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.68%E -1.50%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 20:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.86%E -2.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.12%E -0.847%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 20:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 19:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.47%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 20:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 20:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 20:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.12%E -0.847%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.12%E -0.847%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.90%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.90%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -3.29%E -1.33%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 20:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 20:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 19:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 19:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 20:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 19:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 20:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 20:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.30%E -4.09%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.90%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.90%E -4.51%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.12%E -0.847%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.90%E -4.51%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.90%E -4.51%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.90%E -4.51%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.90%E -4.51%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 20:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.90%E -4.51%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-05-24 20:08 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 20:10 |