Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v Athletics

Inicio: 2026-05-24 20:11 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 2–5 Athletics

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 60.85%1.64momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -3.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.74%60.79%60.88%62.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.571.561.6165.36%63.88%64.10%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletics (Visitante)

Predicción 39.15%2.55momio equitativo
EV -0.943%
Ventaja -0.373%
Kelly -0.616%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%39.21%39.12%40.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.452.452.5343.48%40.85%40.82%39.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Diego Padres (Local): 60.85%; Athletics (Visitante): 39.15%. Para Athletics (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.55. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.53, con un valor esperado de -0.943%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.04%E -1.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -1.73%E -0.688%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 17:50
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.04%E -1.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.90%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 19:50
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.943%E -0.373%K -0.616%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 20:00
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.33%E -0.529%K -0.878%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-24 20:00
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.33%E -0.529%K -0.878%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-24 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -1.73%E -0.688%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 20:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -1.73%E -0.688%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 20:00
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -2.51%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-24 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 20:10
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 20:10
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.25%E -2.05%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 13:59
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.25%E -2.05%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 19:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.86%E -2.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.68%E -1.50%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.86%E -2.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.12%E -0.847%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:50
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 20:00
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 19:40
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:50
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.47%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 20:00
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 20:00
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 20:10
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.12%E -0.847%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.12%E -0.847%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.90%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.90%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 19:30
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -3.29%E -1.33%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 20:09
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 17:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 17:50
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:30
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:50
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 19:39
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 19:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 20:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:49
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 19:30
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 20:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 20:00
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 20:08
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.30%E -4.09%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.90%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:19
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.90%E -4.51%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.12%E -0.847%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.90%E -4.51%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.90%E -4.51%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.90%E -4.51%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.90%E -4.51%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 20:09
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.90%E -4.51%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 17:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-24 20:08
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-24 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-05-24 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-05-24 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-05-24 20:10
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-24 18:00
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-24 20:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-05-24 20:10
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%3.1%2026-05-24 20:10