L’École des cotes

San Diego Padres v Arizona Diamondbacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-10 01:41 UTC

Score final : San Diego Padres 1–3 Arizona Diamondbacks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prévision 54.00%1.85cote équitable
EV +0.974%
Avantage +0.521%
Kelly +1.12%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.05%54.00%54.09%55.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.761.761.8758.82%56.71%56.82%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.00%2.17cote équitable
EV -0.633%
Avantage -0.293%
Kelly -0.546%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.74%46.00%45.91%48.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.082.082.1651.28%48.15%47.96%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.974%E +0.521%K +1.12%G +0.011%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 01:34
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.19%E -0.648%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-10 00:55
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.19%E -0.648%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 16:45
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.73%E -0.948%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:35
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.09%E -0.509%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 00:34
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 01:40
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 00:34
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.633%E -0.293%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-10 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.09%E -0.509%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 01:24
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.09%E -0.509%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 01:24
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.55%E -0.726%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 01:10
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 00:34
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 01:35
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.89%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.85%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 01:23
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.89%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.15%E -3.02%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 16:39
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -1.55%E -0.726%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 23:04
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 16:39
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 19:44
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 00:15
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 23:24
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:34
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:00
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 01:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 01:04
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 00:15
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 01:19
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 00:34
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:39
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:39
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:40
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 01:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 01:40
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:04
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:04
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 01:04
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 01:40
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 01:30
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 19:40
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 19:40
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 19:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 00:34
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 01:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 01:29
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:04
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:04
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:04
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:05
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:05
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:04
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:04
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:05
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:04
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:04
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 01:39
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 15:04
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 14:59
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.13%E -4.14%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 01:40
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.67%E -4.48%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-10 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-10 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-10 01:35
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-10 01:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-10 01:35
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-10 01:40
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-07-10 01:40
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-07-10 01:40
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-07-10 01:24
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-07-09 22:20