La escuela de los momios

San Diego Padres v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inicio: 2026-07-10 01:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 1–3 Arizona Diamondbacks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 54.00%1.85momio equitativo
EV +0.974%
Ventaja +0.521%
Kelly +1.12%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.05%54.00%54.09%55.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.761.761.8758.82%56.71%56.82%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Predicción 46.00%2.17momio equitativo
EV -0.633%
Ventaja -0.293%
Kelly -0.546%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.74%46.00%45.91%48.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.082.082.1651.28%48.15%47.96%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.974%E +0.521%K +1.12%G +0.011%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 01:34
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.19%E -0.648%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-10 00:55
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.19%E -0.648%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 16:45
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.73%E -0.948%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:35
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.09%E -0.509%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 00:34
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 01:40
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 00:34
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.633%E -0.293%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-10 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.09%E -0.509%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 01:24
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.09%E -0.509%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 01:24
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.55%E -0.726%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 01:10
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 00:34
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 01:35
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.89%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.85%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 01:23
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.89%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.15%E -3.02%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 16:39
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -1.55%E -0.726%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 23:04
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 16:39
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 19:44
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 00:15
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 23:24
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:34
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:00
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 01:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 01:04
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 00:15
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 01:19
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 00:34
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:39
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:39
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:40
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 01:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 01:40
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:04
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:04
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 01:04
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 01:40
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 01:30
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 19:40
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 19:40
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 19:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 00:34
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 01:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 01:29
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:04
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:04
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:04
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:05
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:05
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:04
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:04
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:05
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:04
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:04
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.05%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 01:39
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 15:04
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 14:59
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.13%E -4.14%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 01:40
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.67%E -4.48%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 18:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-10 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-10 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-10 01:35
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-10 01:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-10 01:35
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-10 01:40
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-07-10 01:40
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-07-10 01:40
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-07-10 01:24
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-07-09 22:20