The School of Odds

San Diego Padres v Arizona Diamondbacks

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 01:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 0–8 Arizona Diamondbacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 53.52%1.87fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%53.40%53.52%54.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.721.781.781.8358.14%56.12%56.18%54.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 46.48%2.15fair odd
EV -0.067%
Edge -0.031%
Kelly -0.058%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.34%46.60%46.48%48.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.952.062.052.1551.28%48.55%48.78%46.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.06%E -1.13%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.46%E -0.689%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-07 01:00
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.06%E -1.13%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.36%E -4.80%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 01:39
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.59%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.93%E -0.913%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.59%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.97%E -4.02%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 01:40
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.532%E -0.248%K -0.466%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 01:39
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.996%E -0.468%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-07 01:40
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.996%E -0.468%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-07 01:40
Everygame1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.996%E -0.468%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-07 01:10
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.46%E -0.689%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 01:39
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.25%E -2.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 14:00
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.067%E -0.031%K -0.058%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 01:40
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-07 01:39
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.25%E -2.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 01:34
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 14:00
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 16:35
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 14:10
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 01:39
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 16:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 01:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 01:10
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.18%E -2.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 01:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 14:25
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 01:20
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.97%E -4.02%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 01:40
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.43%E -4.28%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 01:25
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.90%E -4.54%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-07 01:40
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.36%E -4.80%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 23:14
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.36%E -4.80%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 01:39
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.20%E -2.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 01:19
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.20%E -2.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.32%E -1.60%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 01:38
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 01:10
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 01:20
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 01:19
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 01:10
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 01:10
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -5.27%E -2.98%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -1.46%E -0.689%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-06 22:39
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.27%E -2.98%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 22:15
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.27%E -2.98%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 01:05
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.27%E -2.98%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 18:24
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.27%E -2.98%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 00:59
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.27%E -2.98%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 01:40
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 00:49
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 00:45
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 00:50
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 00:50
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 00:45
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 00:45
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 00:45
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 01:38
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -1.93%E -0.913%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 01:39
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.32%E -1.60%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 22:59
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.32%E -1.60%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.32%E -1.60%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 23:00
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.32%E -1.60%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 23:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 18:20
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 01:20
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.41%E -4.28%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 01:37
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.95%E -4.62%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-07-07 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-07 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-07 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-07 01:40
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-07 01:40
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.52%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.48%1.3%2026-07-07 01:40
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-07-07 01:39
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-07-07 01:40
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-07-07 01:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-07-06 23:30