L’École des cotes

San Diego Padres v Arizona Diamondbacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-07 01:41 UTC

Score final : San Diego Padres 0–8 Arizona Diamondbacks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prévision 53.52%1.87cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -2.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.59%53.40%53.52%54.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.781.781.8358.14%56.12%56.18%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.48%2.15cote équitable
EV -0.067%
Avantage -0.031%
Kelly -0.058%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.34%46.60%46.48%48.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.062.052.1551.28%48.55%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.06%E -1.13%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.46%E -0.689%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-07 01:00
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.06%E -1.13%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.36%E -4.80%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 01:39
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.59%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.93%E -0.913%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.59%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.97%E -4.02%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 01:40
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.532%E -0.248%K -0.466%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 01:39
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.996%E -0.468%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-07 01:40
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.996%E -0.468%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-07 01:40
Everygame1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.996%E -0.468%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-07 01:10
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.46%E -0.689%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 01:39
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.25%E -2.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 14:00
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.067%E -0.031%K -0.058%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 01:40
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-07 01:39
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.25%E -2.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 01:34
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 14:00
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 16:35
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 14:10
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 01:39
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 16:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 01:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 01:10
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.18%E -2.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 01:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 14:25
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 01:20
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.97%E -4.02%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 01:40
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.43%E -4.28%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 01:25
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.90%E -4.54%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-07 01:40
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.36%E -4.80%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 23:14
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.36%E -4.80%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 01:39
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.20%E -2.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 01:19
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.20%E -2.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.32%E -1.60%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 01:38
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 01:10
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 01:20
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 01:19
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 01:10
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 01:10
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -5.27%E -2.98%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -1.46%E -0.689%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-06 22:39
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.27%E -2.98%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 22:15
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.27%E -2.98%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 01:05
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.27%E -2.98%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 18:24
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.27%E -2.98%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 00:59
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.27%E -2.98%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 01:40
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 00:49
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 00:45
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 00:50
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 00:50
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 00:45
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 00:45
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 00:45
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 01:38
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -1.93%E -0.913%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 01:39
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.32%E -1.60%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 22:59
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.32%E -1.60%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.32%E -1.60%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 23:00
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.32%E -1.60%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 23:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 18:20
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.34%E -3.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 01:20
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.41%E -4.28%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 01:37
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.95%E -4.62%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 23:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-07-07 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-07 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-07 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-07 01:40
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-07 01:40
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.52%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.48%1.3%2026-07-07 01:40
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-07-07 01:39
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-07-07 01:40
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-07-07 01:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-07-06 23:30