A Escola das Odds

San Diego Padres v Arizona Diamondbacks

Início: 2026-07-08 01:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 4–1 Arizona Diamondbacks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 52.21%1.92odd justa
EV -0.285%
Vantagem -0.149%
Kelly -0.313%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.65%52.15%52.22%53.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.761.831.831.9156.82%54.60%54.64%52.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Previsão 47.79%2.09odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -0.751%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.61%47.85%47.78%49.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.002.002.0652.63%50.13%50.00%48.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.285%E -0.149%K -0.313%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 01:39
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -0.807%E -0.425%K -0.897%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 01:40
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.85%E -0.985%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.50%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-08 01:35
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.85%E -0.985%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.98%E -1.47%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 01:39
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.55%E -0.751%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 00:55
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.55%E -0.751%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 01:35
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.50%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 01:40
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.50%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 01:40
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 01:40
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -2.90%E -1.56%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -8.24%E -4.29%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 01:40
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.50%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-08 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 01:40
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 01:40
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 15:15
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:40
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:39
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -3.94%E -2.14%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -9.19%E -4.84%K -10.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 01:40
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.46%E -1.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.46%E -1.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 23:20
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.46%E -1.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 01:10
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.46%E -1.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 01:10
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.94%E -1.96%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 01:25
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 13:49
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 12:09
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 17:44
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 14:33
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:10
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:10
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:09
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:10
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:10
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 17:09
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 18:05
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 17:09
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 15:14
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 15:14
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 17:45
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 01:40
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 17:45
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.89%E -2.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 17:25
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.89%E -2.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 01:30
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 01:09
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 01:10
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 00:54
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.85%E -2.97%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 01:10
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.85%E -2.97%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 01:10
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.51%E -3.04%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.51%E -3.04%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.85%E -2.97%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 01:39
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 14:34
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 14:34
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 14:35
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 12:35
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 23:15
Bet Right1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.02%E -0.987%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 00:30
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 01:10
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.07%E -3.97%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.76%E -4.02%K -8.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 01:38
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.59%E -4.29%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 17:59
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -8.12%E -4.61%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -3.94%E -1.96%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 01:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 52.12%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.88%-0.1%2026-07-08 01:40
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75%0.2%2026-07-08 01:39
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-07-08 01:39
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%0.7%2026-07-08 01:40
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-07 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-07-08 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-07-08 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-07-08 01:40
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-07-08 01:40
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%4.3%2026-07-08 01:40