La escuela de los momios

San Diego Padres v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inicio: 2026-07-08 01:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 4–1 Arizona Diamondbacks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 52.21%1.92momio equitativo
EV -0.285%
Ventaja -0.149%
Kelly -0.313%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.65%52.15%52.22%53.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.761.831.831.9156.82%54.60%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Predicción 47.79%2.09momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.751%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.61%47.85%47.78%49.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.002.002.0652.63%50.13%50.00%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.285%E -0.149%K -0.313%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 01:39
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -0.807%E -0.425%K -0.897%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 01:40
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.85%E -0.985%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.50%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-08 01:35
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.85%E -0.985%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.98%E -1.47%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 01:39
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.55%E -0.751%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 00:55
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.55%E -0.751%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 01:35
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.50%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 01:40
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.50%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 01:40
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 01:40
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -2.90%E -1.56%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -8.24%E -4.29%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 01:40
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.50%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-08 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 01:40
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 01:40
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 15:15
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:40
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:39
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -3.94%E -2.14%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -9.19%E -4.84%K -10.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 01:40
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.46%E -1.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.46%E -1.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 23:20
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.46%E -1.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 01:10
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.46%E -1.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 01:10
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.94%E -1.96%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 01:25
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 13:49
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 12:09
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 17:44
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 14:33
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:10
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:10
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:09
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:10
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:10
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 17:09
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 18:05
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 17:09
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 15:14
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 15:14
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 17:45
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 01:40
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 17:45
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.89%E -2.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 17:25
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.89%E -2.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 01:30
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 01:09
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 01:10
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.37%E -2.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 00:54
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.85%E -2.97%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 01:10
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.85%E -2.97%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 01:10
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.51%E -3.04%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.51%E -3.04%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.85%E -2.97%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 01:39
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 14:34
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 14:34
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 14:35
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 12:35
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 23:15
Bet Right1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.02%E -0.987%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 00:30
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 01:10
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.07%E -3.97%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.76%E -4.02%K -8.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 01:38
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.59%E -4.29%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 17:59
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -8.12%E -4.61%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -3.94%E -1.96%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 01:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 52.12%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.88%-0.1%2026-07-08 01:40
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75%0.2%2026-07-08 01:39
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-07-08 01:39
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%0.7%2026-07-08 01:40
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-07 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-07-08 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-07-08 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-07-08 01:40
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-07-08 01:40
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%4.3%2026-07-08 01:40