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Pittsburgh Pirates v Tampa Bay Rays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 57.77%1.73fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.708%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.14%57.85%57.69%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.651.651.7165.36%60.52%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)
Prediction 42.23%2.37fair odd
EV +3.46%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +2.39%
Growth +0.083%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%42.15%42.31%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.282.4546.51%44.01%43.86%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 57.77%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 42.23%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -11.61%E -7.59%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +3.46%E +1.41%K +2.39%G +0.083% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 12:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +0.505%E +0.212%K +0.366%G +0.002% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 18:53 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.762%E -0.324%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 16:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.762%E -0.324%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-18 18:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.762%E -0.324%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.41%E -3.96%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.61%E -0.690%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 17:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.03%E -0.875%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.21%E -0.708%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 15:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.57%E -4.73%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.21%E -0.708%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-18 19:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.79%E -1.05%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-18 19:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.79%E -1.05%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-18 19:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.79%E -1.05%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-18 19:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.83%E -3.58%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.83%E -3.58%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 18:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.83%E -3.58%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.83%E -3.58%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 18:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.56%E -2.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 14:28 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.41%E -3.96%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 18:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.99%E -4.34%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.57%E -4.73%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 18:48 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.25%E -2.82%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.25%E -2.82%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.25%E -2.82%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 16:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-04-18 18:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |