默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Tampa Bay Rays

开赛时间: 2026-04-18 19:31 UTC

最终结果: Pittsburgh Pirates 7–8 Tampa Bay Rays

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)

预测 57.77%1.73公平赔率
EV -1.21%
优势 -0.708%
Kelly -1.71%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布
56.14%57.85%57.69%61.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.651.651.7165.36%60.52%60.61%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tampa Bay Rays (客队)

预测 42.23%2.37公平赔率
EV +3.46%
优势 +1.41%
Kelly +2.39%
增长率 +0.083%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
38.44%42.15%42.31%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.272.282.4546.51%44.01%43.86%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pittsburgh Pirates (主队):57.77%;Tampa Bay Rays (客队):42.23%。 对于“Tampa Bay Rays (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.37。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.45,对应+3.46%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -11.61%E -7.59%K -21.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +3.46%E +1.41%K +2.39%G +0.083%6.2%2026-04-18 12:20
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +0.505%E +0.212%K +0.366%G +0.002%2.6%2026-04-18 18:53
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.762%E -0.324%K -0.565%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 16:24
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.762%E -0.324%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 18:54
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.762%E -0.324%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.41%E -3.96%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.61%E -0.690%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 17:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.03%E -0.875%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 19:15
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.21%E -0.708%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-18 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 19:30
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 18:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.57%E -4.73%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 16:10
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.21%E -0.708%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-18 19:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.79%E -1.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 19:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.79%E -1.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 19:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 18:54
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.79%E -1.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-18 19:04
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 19:10
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 19:15
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 19:10
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 19:10
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 19:10
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.83%E -3.58%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.83%E -3.58%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 18:49
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.83%E -3.58%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.83%E -3.58%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 18:49
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 19:29
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.56%E -2.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 19:00
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 19:29
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 14:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 14:29
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 14:29
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 14:29
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 14:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 18:50
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.41%E -3.96%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.99%E -4.34%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 19:20
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.57%E -4.73%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 18:50
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 18:48
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.25%E -2.82%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 19:00
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.25%E -2.82%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 19:29
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.25%E -2.82%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 19:29
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 19:30
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 19:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-04-18 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-18 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-18 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-18 19:30
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-18 19:30
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-04-18 19:30
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-18 16:15
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-04-18 19:29
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-04-18 18:45
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%2.6%2026-04-18 19:30