Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Pirates v St. Louis Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-09-24 16:36 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 2–1 St. Louis Cardinals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prediction 59.49%1.68fair odd
EV -0.648%
Edge -0.388%
Kelly -0.967%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%59.53%59.49%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6765.36%62.68%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 40.51%2.47fair odd
EV -0.756%
Edge -0.308%
Kelly -0.521%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.47%40.51%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.352.4545.45%42.34%42.46%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 59.49%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 40.51%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -0.648%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -0.648%E -0.388%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-24 11:59
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-23 19:30
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.90%EV -2.43%E -1.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.10%EV -0.756%E -0.308%K -0.521%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-24 16:25
Everygame🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.03%E -1.86%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.57%E -0.644%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-24 14:31
Caesars🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -3.03%E -1.86%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV -4.40%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-23 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.03%E -1.86%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-23 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.756%E -0.308%K -0.521%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-24 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.756%E -0.308%K -0.521%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-24 16:34
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.756%E -0.308%K -0.521%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-24 16:35
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.97%E -0.814%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-24 16:34
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-24 16:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 12:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 16:30
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 16:30
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 18:50
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 16:35
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -1.16%E -0.476%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-24 16:34
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 16:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 16:29
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 20:20
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.21%E -2.23%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 06:50
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.62%E -2.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 12:25
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.62%E -2.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 12:25
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.62%E -2.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.43%E -2.78%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 11:54
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 16:35
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 15:35
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 15:35
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-24 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 16:25
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 06:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 06:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 06:50
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 16:05
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.41%E -3.40%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 16:30
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.41%E -3.40%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.00%E -1.69%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 16:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.41%E -3.40%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 06:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.00%E -3.80%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 15:40
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 15:40
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 15:40
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 15:40
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 15:39
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-24 15:05
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 15:05
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-24 14:09
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-24 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -8.05%E -3.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-24 16:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.79%E -5.02%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 12:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.79%E -5.02%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 16:25
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.79%E -5.02%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-24 16:10
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.79%E -5.02%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-24 16:27
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.79%E -5.02%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-24 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.38%E -5.44%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-24 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-24 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-24 16:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.19%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.81%0.1%2026-09-24 16:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-09-24 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-09-24 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-09-24 16:30
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-23 21:05
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-24 09:25
ProphetX◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-09-24 16:35
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-09-24 16:35
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.1%2026-09-24 16:35
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-09-24 16:05