Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Pirates v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-09-24 16:36 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prediction 59.09%1.69fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.84%59.05%59.09%59.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.621.621.6664.94%61.72%61.73%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 40.91%2.44fair odd
EV -0.995%
Edge -0.411%
Kelly -0.701%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.20%40.95%40.91%42.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.322.302.4246.51%43.17%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 59.09%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 40.91%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.42, with an expected value of -0.995%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.91%E -1.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.22%E -0.930%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-24 00:25
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.995%E -0.411%K -0.701%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-23 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.81%E -0.756%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-23 20:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.81%E -0.756%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-23 20:20
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-24 00:19
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.86%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-23 19:30
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.09%E -1.89%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.81%E -0.756%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-24 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.09%E -1.89%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.09%E -1.89%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.09%E -1.89%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 23:50
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.09%E -1.89%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 23:50
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.09%E -1.89%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 23:50
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.09%E -1.89%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.09%E -1.89%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 23:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.09%E -1.89%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 23:49
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.09%E -1.89%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 23:50
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.09%E -1.89%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.09%E -1.89%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 22:05
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.09%E -1.89%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 22:10
Caesars🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -3.69%E -2.26%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV -3.45%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-23 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.69%E -2.26%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.86%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-23 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.69%E -2.26%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-23 18:55
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.69%E -2.26%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.72%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 23:50
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -1.40%E -0.583%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-24 01:15
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.45%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 18:50
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.45%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 20:40
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.86%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 22:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.86%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 00:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.68%E -2.01%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 18:55
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-23 18:49
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 18:50
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 18:50
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 21:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 20:15
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 22:39
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.04%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.04%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 22:05
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.86%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 20:20
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.86%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.86%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 20:35
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.68%E -2.01%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 20:20
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.68%E -2.01%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 20:20
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.68%E -2.01%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 00:10
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-23 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-23 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-23 23:50
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.46%E -3.41%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-23 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.46%E -3.41%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-23 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.46%E -3.41%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-23 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.46%E -3.41%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-23 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.46%E -3.41%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-23 18:58
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.46%E -3.41%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 01:00
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -6.05%E -3.80%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -5.50%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 18:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.82%E -5.01%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.00%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-23 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.82%E -5.01%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.00%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-23 23:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.00%E -5.85%K -16.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.04%E -5.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-23 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-09-24 01:00
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-23 22:55
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-23 21:05
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-23 23:15
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%4.8%2026-09-24 01:25
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%7.5%2026-09-24 01:40