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Pittsburgh Pirates v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-09-24 16:36 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Predicción 59.08%1.69momio equitativo
EV -0.748%
Ventaja -0.445%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.70%59.04%59.05%60.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.541.621.621.6864.94%61.72%61.73%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 40.92%2.44momio equitativo
EV -0.152%
Ventaja -0.062%
Kelly -0.105%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%40.96%40.95%43.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.322.302.4446.51%43.13%43.48%40.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 59.08%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 40.92%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.444. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.440, con un valor esperado de -0.152%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.748%E -0.445%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 02:24
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.93%E -1.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.20%E -0.920%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-24 00:25
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.52%E -1.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.970%E -0.401%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-23 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.52%E -1.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.79%E -0.745%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-23 20:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.52%E -1.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.79%E -0.745%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-23 20:20
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.52%E -1.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-24 00:19
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.52%E -1.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-23 19:30
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.52%E -1.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 02:15
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.11%E -1.90%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.79%E -0.745%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-24 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.11%E -1.90%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.06%E -2.18%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 02:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.11%E -1.90%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.06%E -2.18%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 02:15
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.11%E -1.90%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.06%E -2.18%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 02:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.11%E -1.90%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.06%E -2.18%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 02:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.11%E -1.90%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 22:05
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.11%E -1.90%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 22:10
Caesars🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-23 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-23 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-23 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 02:15
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 02:14
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 02:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 02:15
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 02:15
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 02:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 18:50
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 20:40
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 22:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 00:14
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 02:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.65%E -2.00%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 18:55
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.06%E -2.18%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-23 18:49
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 18:50
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 18:50
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 21:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 20:15
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 22:35
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 22:39
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 02:14
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -0.152%E -0.062%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-24 02:00
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 22:05
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 20:20
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 20:35
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.65%E -2.00%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 20:20
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.65%E -2.00%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 20:20
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.65%E -2.00%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.06%E -2.18%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 00:10
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-23 18:55
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-23 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-23 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-23 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-23 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-23 18:58
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 01:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.70%E -2.94%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-24 02:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.70%E -2.94%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-24 02:14
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -6.07%E -3.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -5.47%E -2.37%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 18:49
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.84%E -5.02%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.75%E -3.92%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-24 02:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.84%E -5.02%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-23 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.02%E -5.86%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.02%E -5.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-23 18:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-09-24 01:55
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-23 22:55
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-23 21:05
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-23 23:15
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%4.8%2026-09-24 01:25
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%7.9%2026-09-24 02:25