L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Pirates v Seattle Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-25 16:36 UTC

Score final : Pittsburgh Pirates 5–1 Seattle Mariners

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 42.49%2.35cote équitable
EV +1.98%
Avantage +0.824%
Kelly +1.41%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.57%42.44%42.60%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.142.272.272.4046.73%44.11%44.05%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.51%1.74cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.970%
Kelly -2.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.14%57.56%57.40%59.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.651.651.7163.69%60.53%60.61%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV +1.98%E +0.824%K +1.41%G +0.028%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-25 16:30
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.702%E +0.296%K +0.512%G +0.004%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 16:20
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV +0.277%E +0.117%K +0.204%G +0.001%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-25 16:30
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.148%E -0.063%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-25 16:20
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.148%E -0.063%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-25 16:20
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -0.148%E -0.063%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-25 16:19
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -0.573%E -0.245%K -0.428%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 16:30
Everygame2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.998%E -0.428%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 16:29
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -0.998%E -0.428%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-25 16:29
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -1.42%E -0.613%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 16:20
SportsBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.42%E -0.613%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-25 16:09
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 16:20
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 16:20
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 16:09
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 16:19
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 16:20
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 16:30
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.71%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-25 16:29
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.70%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.66%E -0.970%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 16:10
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 16:20
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 16:19
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 16:20
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 16:20
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 16:20
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 16:20
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 16:29
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 16:29
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 16:30
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 16:30
MyBookie.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 16:28
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 16:09
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-25 16:20
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-25 14:19
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-25 16:30
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-25 16:00
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 16:30
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:10
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:19
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:10
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:10
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:00
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:00
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:10
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:09
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 16:09
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-25 16:20
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.67%E -2.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 16:00
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.67%E -2.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 16:00
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.67%E -2.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 16:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 16:19
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 16:29
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 16:19
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 14:20
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -6.95%E -3.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 14:17
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-25 16:19
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -9.07%E -4.24%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-25 16:28
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-06-25 16:30
ProphetX2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-06-25 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-25 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-25 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-25 16:30
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%0.7%2026-06-25 16:00
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-06-25 16:10
BetOpenly2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%1.9%2026-06-25 16:30
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-06-25 16:20
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-06-25 16:30