مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pittsburgh Pirates v Seattle Mariners

البداية: 2026-06-25 16:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Pittsburgh Pirates 5–1 Seattle Mariners

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.49%2.35السعر العادل
EV +1.98%
الأفضلية +0.824%
Kelly +1.41%
النمو +0.028%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.57%42.44%42.60%43.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.142.272.272.4046.73%44.11%44.05%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Seattle Mariners (الضيف)

التنبؤ 57.51%1.74السعر العادل
EV -1.66%
الأفضلية -0.970%
Kelly -2.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.14%57.56%57.40%59.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.651.651.7163.69%60.53%60.61%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV +1.98%E +0.824%K +1.41%G +0.028%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-25 16:30
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.702%E +0.296%K +0.512%G +0.004%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 16:20
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV +0.277%E +0.117%K +0.204%G +0.001%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-25 16:30
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.148%E -0.063%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-25 16:20
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.148%E -0.063%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-25 16:20
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -0.148%E -0.063%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-25 16:19
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -0.573%E -0.245%K -0.428%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 16:30
Everygame2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.998%E -0.428%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 16:29
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -0.998%E -0.428%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-25 16:29
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -1.42%E -0.613%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 16:20
SportsBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.42%E -0.613%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-25 16:09
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 16:20
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 16:20
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 16:09
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 16:19
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 16:20
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 16:30
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.71%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-25 16:29
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.70%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.66%E -0.970%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 16:10
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 16:20
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 16:19
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 16:20
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 16:20
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 16:20
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 16:20
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 16:29
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 16:29
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 16:30
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 16:30
MyBookie.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 16:28
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 16:09
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-25 16:20
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-25 14:19
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-25 16:30
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-25 16:00
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 16:30
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:10
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:19
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:10
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:10
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:00
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:00
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:10
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 16:09
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 16:09
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-25 16:20
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.67%E -2.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 16:00
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.67%E -2.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 16:00
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.67%E -2.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 16:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 16:19
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 16:29
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 16:19
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 14:20
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -6.95%E -3.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 14:17
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-25 16:19
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -9.07%E -4.24%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-25 16:28
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-06-25 16:30
ProphetX2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-06-25 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-25 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-25 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-25 16:30
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%0.7%2026-06-25 16:00
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-06-25 16:10
BetOpenly2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%1.9%2026-06-25 16:30
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-06-25 16:20
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-06-25 16:30