La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Pittsburgh Pirates v Seattle Mariners
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Predicción 42.49%2.35momio equitativo
EV +1.98%
Ventaja +0.824%
Kelly +1.41%
Crecimiento +0.028%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.57%42.44%42.60%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.142.272.272.4046.73%44.11%44.05%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Seattle Mariners (Visitante)
Predicción 57.51%1.74momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.970%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.14%57.56%57.40%59.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.651.651.7163.69%60.53%60.61%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV +1.98%E +0.824%K +1.41%G +0.028% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |
| GTbets | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.702%E +0.296%K +0.512%G +0.004% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-25 16:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV +0.277%E +0.117%K +0.204%G +0.001% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.148%E -0.063%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-25 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.148%E -0.063%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-25 16:20 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -0.148%E -0.063%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-25 16:19 |
| FanDuel | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -0.573%E -0.245%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |
| Everygame | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.998%E -0.428%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-25 16:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -0.998%E -0.428%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-25 16:29 |
| Bovada | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -1.42%E -0.613%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-25 16:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.42%E -0.613%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-25 16:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-25 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-25 16:20 |
| Caesars | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-25 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-25 16:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-25 16:20 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.71%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-25 16:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.70%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.66%E -0.970%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-25 16:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 16:20 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 16:19 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 16:20 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 16:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-25 16:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-25 16:29 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-25 16:28 |
| Bet Right | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-25 16:09 |
| ReBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-25 16:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-25 14:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-25 16:00 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 16:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 16:10 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 16:00 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 16:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 16:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-25 16:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-25 16:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.67%E -2.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 16:00 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.67%E -2.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.67%E -2.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 16:10 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 22:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-25 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-25 16:19 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-25 14:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -6.95%E -3.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 14:17 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-25 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.68%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -9.07%E -4.24%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-25 16:28 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 0.2% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |
| ProphetX | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |
| Novig | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 0.7% | 2026-06-25 16:00 |
| Polymarket | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-06-25 16:10 |
| BetOpenly | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.1% | 2026-06-25 16:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.3% | 2026-06-25 16:30 |