Language:English
Pittsburgh Pirates v San Francisco Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 58.60%1.71fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.929%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.63%58.62%59.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.641.6863.69%61.20%60.98%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Francisco Giants (Visit)
Prediction 41.40%2.42fair odd
EV +0.614%
Edge +0.253%
Kelly +0.429%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.44%41.37%41.38%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.302.302.4345.45%43.48%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 58.60%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 41.40%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.614%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +0.614%E +0.253%K +0.429%G +0.003% | 1.8% | 2026-09-02 20:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.73%E -1.65%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.04%E -0.436%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.87%E -0.789%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 20:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.87%E -0.789%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.66%E -3.52%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.87%E -0.789%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 22:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.66%E -3.52%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.87%E -0.789%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.28%E -0.968%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.28%E -0.968%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.56%E -0.929%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.70%E -1.15%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.70%E -1.15%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 20:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.70%E -1.15%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.70%E -1.15%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 22:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.11%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 20:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.73%E -1.65%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.11%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 20:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.11%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.11%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.53%E -1.51%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 21:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 20:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.49%E -2.75%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.49%E -2.75%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 21:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 21:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 20:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 20:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 03:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 20:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.66%E -3.52%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.60%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.60%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.60%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.60%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.60%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.60%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.49%E -2.75%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.60%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.49%E -2.75%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.60%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.01%E -2.65%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.49%E -2.75%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.01%E -2.65%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.49%E -2.75%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.01%E -2.65%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 22:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.66%E -3.52%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.66%E -3.52%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 20:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 22:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 22:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.42%E -4.70%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.67%E -3.44%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 22:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |