Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates v San Francisco Giants

Início: 2026-09-02 22:43 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 4–5 San Francisco Giants

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 58.60%1.71odd justa
EV -1.56%
Vantagem -0.929%
Kelly -2.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%58.63%58.62%59.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.631.641.6863.69%61.20%60.98%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Previsão 41.40%2.42odd justa
EV +0.614%
Vantagem +0.253%
Kelly +0.429%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.44%41.37%41.38%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.302.302.4345.45%43.48%43.48%41.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 58.60%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 41.40%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.42. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.43, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.614%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +0.614%E +0.253%K +0.429%G +0.003%1.8%2026-09-02 20:53
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.73%E -1.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.04%E -0.436%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 22:25
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.87%E -0.789%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 20:25
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.87%E -0.789%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.66%E -3.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.87%E -0.789%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 22:05
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.66%E -3.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.87%E -0.789%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.28%E -0.968%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 20:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.28%E -0.968%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 20:45
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.56%E -0.929%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.70%E -1.15%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 21:55
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.70%E -1.15%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 20:45
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.70%E -1.15%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 22:05
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.70%E -1.15%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 22:04
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.11%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-02 20:34
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.73%E -1.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.11%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 20:45
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.11%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 22:05
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.11%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 22:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.53%E -1.51%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 21:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 22:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-02 01:55
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 22:25
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 21:55
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 21:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 21:55
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 20:30
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.49%E -2.75%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:15
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.49%E -2.75%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:00
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 21:00
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 22:05
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 20:05
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 20:59
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 03:30
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 20:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.66%E -3.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 06:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.60%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:55
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.60%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:55
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.60%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:55
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.60%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:55
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.60%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.60%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.49%E -2.75%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.60%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 21:50
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.49%E -2.75%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.60%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 21:55
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.01%E -2.65%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.49%E -2.75%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.01%E -2.65%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 20:20
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.49%E -2.75%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.01%E -2.65%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 22:25
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 22:05
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 22:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.66%E -3.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.66%E -3.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 21:55
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 20:14
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 22:29
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 22:28
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.42%E -4.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.67%E -3.44%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 22:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 20:40
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 21:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-09-02 22:25
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-09-02 22:30
ProphetX◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-09-02 22:25
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-09-02 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-09-02 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-09-02 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-09-02 21:50
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-02 22:00
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-02 14:25
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-09-02 22:30