默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Philadelphia Phillies

开赛时间: 2026-05-17 17:36 UTC

最终结果: Pittsburgh Pirates 0–6 Philadelphia Phillies

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)

预测 53.88%1.86公平赔率
EV -0.865%
优势 -0.470%
Kelly -1.03%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.84

博彩公司预测分布
52.00%53.86%54.05%56.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.771.781.8459.88%56.35%56.18%54.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Phillies (客队)

预测 46.12%2.17公平赔率
EV -0.837%
优势 -0.389%
Kelly -0.728%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
43.72%46.14%45.95%48.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.072.082.1551.28%48.29%48.08%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pittsburgh Pirates (主队):53.88%;Philadelphia Phillies (客队):46.12%。 对于“Philadelphia Phillies (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.17。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.15,期望值为-0.837%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -0.865%E -0.470%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 17:35
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.40%E -0.767%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:34
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.76%E -0.826%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-17 15:45
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.22%E -1.05%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 17:19
Everygame🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.22%E -1.05%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 15:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -4.07%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.68%E -4.38%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 17:35
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.48%E -1.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.30%E -0.607%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.48%E -1.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.48%E -1.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 16:25
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.30%E -0.607%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:55
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:14
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.60%E -4.90%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.06%E -5.16%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 17:29
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:00
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:55
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:55
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:50
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.37%E -3.14%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.37%E -3.14%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:10
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.68%E -4.38%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:00
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:00
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.07%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:35
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:44
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:55
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.17%E -2.94%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.60%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.17%E -2.94%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.99%E -2.42%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 15:40
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 15:44
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 16:25
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 16:25
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 15:44
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.07%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:40
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.25%E -3.59%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 16:25
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 15:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 15:40
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 15:09
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.87%E -4.60%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.837%E -0.389%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 05:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.49%E -5.65%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 17:24
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.02%E -6.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.837%E -0.389%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.02%E -6.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.837%E -0.389%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 06:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-17 17:30
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-17 17:35
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-17 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-17 17:35
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97%1.5%2026-05-17 17:30
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-05-17 17:35