مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pittsburgh Pirates v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-05-17 17:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Pittsburgh Pirates 0–6 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.88%1.86السعر العادل
EV -0.865%
الأفضلية -0.470%
Kelly -1.03%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.84

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.00%53.86%54.05%56.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.771.781.8459.88%56.35%56.18%54.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.12%2.17السعر العادل
EV -0.837%
الأفضلية -0.389%
Kelly -0.728%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.72%46.14%45.95%48.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.072.082.1551.28%48.29%48.08%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -0.865%E -0.470%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 17:35
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.40%E -0.767%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:34
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.76%E -0.826%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-17 15:45
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.22%E -1.05%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 17:19
Everygame1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.22%E -1.05%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 15:29
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:14
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:15
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -4.07%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 16:25
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.68%E -4.38%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 17:35
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.48%E -1.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.30%E -0.607%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.48%E -1.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 16:25
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.48%E -1.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 16:25
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.30%E -0.607%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 15:55
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:55
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:14
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.60%E -4.90%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 17:35
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.06%E -5.16%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 17:29
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:00
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:50
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:55
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:55
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:50
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.37%E -3.14%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:10
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.37%E -3.14%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:10
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.68%E -4.38%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 17:35
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:00
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:00
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:00
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:15
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.07%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:35
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:44
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:55
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.17%E -2.94%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.60%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 17:30
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.17%E -2.94%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.99%E -2.42%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 15:40
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 15:44
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 16:25
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 16:25
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 15:44
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.07%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:40
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.25%E -3.59%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 16:25
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 15:45
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 15:44
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 15:45
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 15:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 19:30
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 15:09
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.87%E -4.60%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.837%E -0.389%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 05:40
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.49%E -5.65%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 17:24
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.02%E -6.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.837%E -0.389%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.02%E -6.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.837%E -0.389%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 06:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-17 17:30
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-17 17:35
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-17 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-17 17:35
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97%1.5%2026-05-17 17:30
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-05-17 17:35