L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Pirates v Philadelphia Phillies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 17:36 UTC

Score final : Pittsburgh Pirates 0–6 Philadelphia Phillies

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 53.88%1.86cote équitable
EV -0.865%
Avantage -0.470%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%53.86%54.05%56.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.771.781.8459.88%56.35%56.18%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.12%2.17cote équitable
EV -0.837%
Avantage -0.389%
Kelly -0.728%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.72%46.14%45.95%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.072.082.1551.28%48.29%48.08%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -0.865%E -0.470%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 17:35
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.40%E -0.767%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:34
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.76%E -0.826%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-17 15:45
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.22%E -1.05%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 17:19
Everygame1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.22%E -1.05%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 15:29
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:14
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:15
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -4.07%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 16:25
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -1.94%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.68%E -4.38%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 17:35
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.48%E -1.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.30%E -0.607%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.48%E -1.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 16:25
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.48%E -1.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 16:25
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.30%E -0.607%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 15:55
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:55
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:14
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.60%E -4.90%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 17:35
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.06%E -5.16%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 17:29
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:00
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.56%E -1.99%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:50
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:55
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:55
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.91%E -2.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:50
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.37%E -3.14%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:10
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.37%E -3.14%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:10
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.68%E -4.38%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 17:35
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:00
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:00
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:00
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:15
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.07%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:35
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:44
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:55
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.17%E -2.94%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.60%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 17:30
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.17%E -2.94%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.99%E -2.42%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 15:40
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 15:44
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 16:25
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 16:25
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 15:44
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.71%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.07%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:40
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.25%E -3.59%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 16:25
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 15:45
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 15:44
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 15:45
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 15:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 19:30
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.79%E -3.93%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 15:09
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.87%E -4.60%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.837%E -0.389%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 05:40
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.49%E -5.65%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 17:24
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.02%E -6.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.837%E -0.389%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.02%E -6.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.837%E -0.389%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 06:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-17 17:30
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-17 17:35
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-17 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-17 17:35
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97%1.5%2026-05-17 17:30
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-05-17 17:35