A Escola das Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-05-15 22:41 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 9–11 Philadelphia Phillies

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 55.06%1.82odd justa
EV -0.898%
Vantagem -0.499%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%54.72%55.06%55.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.19%57.31%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 44.94%2.23odd justa
EV -1.12%
Vantagem -0.511%
Kelly -0.937%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%45.28%44.94%47.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.112.122.2050.00%47.30%47.28%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -0.898%E -0.499%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -6.97%E -3.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 22:40
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.898%E -0.499%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 22:39
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -1.45%E -0.809%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-15 21:30
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.57%E -0.719%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-15 21:55
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.02%E -0.928%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 22:25
theScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.02%E -0.928%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 15:35
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:39
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 22:40
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.12%E -0.511%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 22:30
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.12%E -0.511%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 11:29
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.02%E -0.928%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.02%E -0.928%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:30
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.02%E -0.928%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.57%E -0.719%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-15 20:55
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.97%E -3.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:39
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.97%E -3.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:39
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.97%E -3.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.97%E -3.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 22:40
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.65%E -2.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-15 09:54
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.65%E -2.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 14:54
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.65%E -2.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 22:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 12:49
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 16:40
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 10:34
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 20:47
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 12:59
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.27%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 19:55
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:30
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.27%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 10:44
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 20:50
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 20:50
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.17%E -2.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 22:25
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 20:50
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 20:50
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 20:50
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 20:50
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 20:05
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 05:39
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:30
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:30
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:39
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:25
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 20:50
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 20:49
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 21:40
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:34
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%-0.1%2026-05-15 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-15 22:40
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-15 22:35
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-15 21:20
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-15 03:44
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%1.4%2026-05-15 22:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-05-15 22:40
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-05-15 21:45