La scuola delle quote

Pittsburgh Pirates v Philadelphia Phillies

Inizio: 2026-05-15 22:41 UTC

Finale: Pittsburgh Pirates 9–11 Philadelphia Phillies

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Casa)

Previsione 55.06%1.82quota equa
EV -0.898%
Vantaggio -0.499%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.63%54.72%55.06%55.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.19%57.31%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.94%2.23quota equa
EV -1.12%
Vantaggio -0.511%
Kelly -0.937%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.30%45.28%44.94%47.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.112.122.2050.00%47.30%47.28%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -0.898%E -0.499%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -6.97%E -3.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 22:40
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.898%E -0.499%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 22:39
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -1.45%E -0.809%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-15 21:30
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.57%E -0.719%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-15 21:55
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.02%E -0.928%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 22:25
theScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.02%E -0.928%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 15:35
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:39
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 22:40
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.12%E -0.511%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 22:30
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.12%E -0.511%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 11:29
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.02%E -0.928%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.02%E -0.928%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:30
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.02%E -0.928%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.57%E -0.719%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-15 20:55
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.97%E -3.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:39
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.97%E -3.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:39
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.97%E -3.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.97%E -3.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 22:40
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.65%E -2.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-15 09:54
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.65%E -2.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 14:54
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.65%E -2.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 22:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 12:49
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 16:40
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 10:34
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 20:47
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 12:59
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.27%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 19:55
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:30
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.27%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 10:44
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 20:50
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 20:50
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.17%E -2.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 22:25
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 20:50
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 20:50
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 20:50
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 20:50
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 20:05
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 05:39
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:30
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:30
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:39
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:25
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 20:50
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 20:49
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 21:40
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:34
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%-0.1%2026-05-15 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-15 22:40
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-15 22:35
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-15 21:20
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-15 03:44
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%1.4%2026-05-15 22:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-05-15 22:40
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-05-15 21:45