مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pittsburgh Pirates v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-05-15 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Pittsburgh Pirates 9–11 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.06%1.82السعر العادل
EV -0.898%
الأفضلية -0.499%
Kelly -1.12%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.63%54.72%55.06%55.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.19%57.31%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.94%2.23السعر العادل
EV -1.12%
الأفضلية -0.511%
Kelly -0.937%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.30%45.28%44.94%47.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.112.122.2050.00%47.30%47.28%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -0.898%E -0.499%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -6.97%E -3.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 22:40
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.898%E -0.499%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 22:39
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -1.45%E -0.809%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-15 21:30
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.57%E -0.719%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-15 21:55
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.02%E -0.928%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 22:25
theScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.02%E -0.928%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 15:35
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:39
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 22:40
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.12%E -0.511%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 22:30
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.12%E -0.511%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 11:29
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.02%E -0.928%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.02%E -0.928%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:30
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.02%E -0.928%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:39
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.57%E -0.719%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-15 20:55
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.97%E -3.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:39
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.97%E -3.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:39
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.97%E -3.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.97%E -3.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 22:40
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.65%E -2.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-15 09:54
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.65%E -2.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 14:54
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.65%E -2.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 22:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 12:49
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 16:40
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 10:34
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 20:47
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 12:59
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.27%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 19:55
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:30
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.27%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 10:44
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 20:50
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 20:50
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.17%E -2.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 22:25
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 20:50
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 20:50
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 20:50
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 20:50
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 20:05
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 05:39
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:30
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:30
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:39
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:25
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 20:50
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 20:49
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 21:40
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:34
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%-0.1%2026-05-15 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-15 22:40
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-15 22:35
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-15 21:20
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-15 03:44
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%1.4%2026-05-15 22:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-05-15 22:40
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-05-15 21:45