The School of Odds
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Pittsburgh Pirates v New York Mets

2026-08-07 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prediction 56.87%1.76fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.605%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.14%56.86%56.85%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.681.7461.73%59.51%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Visit)

Prediction 43.13%2.32fair odd
EV -0.793%
Edge -0.345%
Kelly -0.610%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%43.14%43.15%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.202.3047.62%45.28%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 56.87%; New York Mets (Visit): 43.13%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.30, with an expected value of -0.793%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.05%E -0.605%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-06 22:45
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.19%E -1.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.66%E -0.726%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 01:25
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.793%E -0.345%K -0.610%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 23:35
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.793%E -0.345%K -0.610%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.09%E -0.920%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.09%E -0.920%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 23:35
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.52%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-06 23:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 21:05
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 21:40
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.66%E -0.726%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-06 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 21:06
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 23:35
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -5.54%E -2.53%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 01:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.90%E -2.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 01:05
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:00
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:30
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:30
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:30
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:30
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:29
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:50
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:05
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.97%E -2.74%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:10
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.97%E -2.74%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 21:05
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 01:10
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.68%E -2.12%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 01:15
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 00:59
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:00
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:01
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:00
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:55
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.60%E -3.37%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.60%E -3.37%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.54%E -2.53%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 00:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.60%E -3.37%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.60%E -3.37%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 01:30
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -8.56%E -4.04%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 01:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-08-07 01:55
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-07 01:25
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-07 01:35
ProphetX◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-08-07 01:35
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-08-07 01:35
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%2.7%2026-08-07 01:30
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%8.1%2026-08-07 02:00