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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Pittsburgh Pirates v New York Mets

2026-08-07 22:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Predicción 56.79%1.76momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.686%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.97%56.79%56.85%57.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.681.681.7461.73%59.41%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 43.21%2.31momio equitativo
EV -0.606%
Ventaja -0.264%
Kelly -0.467%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.60%43.21%43.15%45.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.202.202.3047.62%45.37%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 56.79%; New York Mets (Visitante): 43.21%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.31. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.30, con un valor esperado de -0.606%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.19%E -0.686%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-06 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.19%E -0.686%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 02:40
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.19%E -0.686%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 02:45
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.33%E -1.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.47%E -0.645%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 01:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.33%E -1.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.25%E -4.40%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 02:24
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.90%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.606%E -0.264%K -0.467%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 23:35
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.90%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.606%E -0.264%K -0.467%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.90%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.90%E -0.838%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.90%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.90%E -0.838%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 23:35
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.90%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.34%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-06 23:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.90%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 21:05
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.90%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 21:40
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.46%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.46%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.46%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.46%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.46%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 21:06
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.46%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 23:35
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.46%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -5.36%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 01:50
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.46%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 02:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.03%E -2.39%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 01:05
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:00
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:30
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:30
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:30
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:30
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:29
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:05
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 02:10
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:10
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 21:05
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 01:10
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.50%E -2.03%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 01:15
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 00:59
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:00
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:01
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:00
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:55
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.74%E -3.46%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.74%E -3.46%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.36%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 00:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.74%E -3.46%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.22%E -2.87%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.74%E -3.46%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.22%E -2.87%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 01:30
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -8.39%E -3.96%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 01:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.25%E -4.40%K -8.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.25%E -4.40%K -8.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49%-0.0%2026-08-07 02:35
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-07 01:25
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-07 02:55
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-07 02:45
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-08-07 02:45
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%2.8%2026-08-07 02:35
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%6.1%2026-08-07 02:50