Language:English
Pittsburgh Pirates v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 57.02%1.75fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%56.94%57.11%58.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.681.7262.50%59.39%59.52%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 42.98%2.33fair odd
EV -0.295%
Edge -0.127%
Kelly -0.223%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.56%43.06%42.89%45.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.202.3247.62%45.21%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 57.02%; New York Mets (Visit): 42.98%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.32, with an expected value of -0.295%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.01%E -0.883%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 11:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.15%E -0.502%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.15%E -0.502%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.58%E -0.692%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.295%E -0.127%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.295%E -0.127%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-09 11:13 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 02:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 17:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 17:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.17%E -3.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.01%E -0.883%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 06:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 11:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 07:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 15:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.73%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 14:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.03%E -3.75%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.03%E -3.75%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 12:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.59%E -2.07%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 12:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 08:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 12:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 14:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 11:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -7.05%E -4.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.03%E -3.75%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 17:08 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.76%E -5.48%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 15:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |