Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates v New York Mets

Início: 2026-08-09 17:37 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 1–11 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 57.02%1.75odd justa
EV -1.92%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -2.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.97%56.94%57.11%58.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.681.681.7262.50%59.39%59.52%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 42.98%2.33odd justa
EV -0.295%
Vantagem -0.127%
Kelly -0.223%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.56%43.06%42.89%45.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.212.202.3247.62%45.21%45.45%43.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 57.02%; New York Mets (Visitante): 42.98%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.33. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.32, com valor esperado de -0.295%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.01%E -0.883%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-09 11:09
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 11:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.15%E -0.502%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-09 16:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.15%E -0.502%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-09 13:45
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.58%E -0.692%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 16:05
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-09 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 17:25
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 17:25
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.295%E -0.127%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-09 12:20
Caesars🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.295%E -0.127%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-09 11:13
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 02:05
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 17:30
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 17:30
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 17:29
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 17:29
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.17%E -3.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 17:25
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 17:24
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 17:24
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.01%E -0.883%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 17:20
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 11:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 06:00
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 11:54
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 07:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 15:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.73%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 14:00
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:30
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:30
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 14:34
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.03%E -3.75%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.03%E -3.75%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 17:25
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 17:30
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 17:30
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 12:19
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.59%E -2.07%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 12:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 11:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 08:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 15:30
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 17:25
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:10
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -7.05%E -4.33%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.03%E -3.75%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 17:08
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.76%E -5.48%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-08-09 17:30
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-08-09 17:00
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-09 17:30
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-09 17:25
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-09 15:15
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-09 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-08-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-08-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-08-09 17:30
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-08-09 16:20