Language:English
Pittsburgh Pirates v Milwaukee Brewers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 34.72%2.88fair odd
EV +0.690%
Edge +0.238%
Kelly +0.363%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%34.75%34.83%36.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.752.762.9039.22%36.33%36.17%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)
Prediction 65.28%1.53fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.946%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.91%65.25%65.17%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5171.43%68.74%68.97%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 34.72%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 65.28%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.690%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.690%E +0.238%K +0.363%G +0.003% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.65%E -4.65%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-15 21:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -0.699%E -0.244%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.73%E -1.83%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -1.05%E -0.367%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.73%E -1.83%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -1.05%E -0.367%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.73%E -1.83%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.44%E -0.867%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.43%E -0.946%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%EV -1.43%E -0.946%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.08%E -1.39%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-15 15:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.73%E -1.83%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-15 16:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-15 21:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-15 15:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 16:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 21:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 21:13 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 21:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.65%E -4.65%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 21:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.61%E -6.15%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 20:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.13%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.73%E -1.83%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.48%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-15 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.48%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-15 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.82%E -1.38%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.21%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.17%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-15 19:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-15 15:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.69%E -3.21%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 16:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 16:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 13:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 13:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -5.21%E -1.91%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.56%E -2.04%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.69%E -3.21%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.25%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.25%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.61%E -6.15%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 21:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 13:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.69%E -3.21%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.65%E -4.65%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 22:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.46%E -4.50%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 22:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -11.46%E -4.50%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.61%E -6.15%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-09-15 20:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-09-15 22:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60% | 1.6% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.89I 34.60%NM 34.02% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.98% | 1.7% | 2026-09-15 22:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-09-15 22:30 |