默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Milwaukee Brewers

开赛时间： 2026-09-15 22:43 UTC

最终结果： Pittsburgh Pirates 1–5 Milwaukee Brewers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

35%

65%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)

预测 34.72%2.88公平赔率

EV +0.690%

优势 +0.238%

Kelly +0.363%

增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布

33.03%34.75%34.83%36.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.552.752.762.9039.22%36.33%36.17%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Milwaukee Brewers (客队)

预测 65.28%1.53公平赔率

EV -1.43%

优势 -0.946%

Kelly -2.80%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.51

博彩公司预测分布

63.91%65.25%65.17%66.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.401.451.451.5171.43%68.74%68.97%66.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)：34.72%；Milwaukee Brewers (客队)：65.28%。对于“Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.88。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.90，对应+0.690%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Fliff🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.690%E +0.238%K +0.363%G +0.003%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.65%E -4.65%K -15.47%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-15 21:05
GTbets🎯	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -0.699%E -0.244%K -0.376%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.73%E -1.83%K -5.58%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-15 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -1.05%E -0.367%K -0.566%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.73%E -1.83%K -5.58%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-15 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -1.05%E -0.367%K -0.566%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.73%E -1.83%K -5.58%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-15 22:20
1xBet🎯	2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.44%E -0.867%K -1.35%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.43%E -0.946%K -2.80%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-09-15 22:00
Pinnacle🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%EV -1.43%E -0.946%K -2.80%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-09-15 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.08%E -1.39%K -4.16%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-09-15 15:55
Everygame🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.73%E -1.83%K -5.58%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-09-15 16:14
BetAnything🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-09-15 21:10
FanDuel🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.59%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-15 15:55
Caesars🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-15 16:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-15 21:35
BetMGM🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-15 13:45
betfred_uk🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 21:13
Coral🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 21:40
Casumo🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 21:45
BetRivers🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 21:40
betPARX🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 21:40
Svenska Spel🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 21:45
Unibet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 21:40
Bally Bet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 21:40
TABtouch🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.65%E -4.65%K -15.47%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-15 21:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.39%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-15 13:45
Paddy Power🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.61%E -6.15%K -21.52%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-15 20:14
BetUS🎯	2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.13%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.73%E -1.83%K -5.58%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-15 22:20
SportsBet🎯	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.48%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-15 15:55
Coolbet🎯	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.48%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-15 16:30
DraftKings🎯	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.82%E -1.38%K -2.16%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.21%K -10.20%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-15 16:25
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.17%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-15 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-15 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-15 19:50
theScore Bet🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-15 15:55
Fanatics🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.59%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-15 15:50
Bet Right🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.69%E -3.21%K -10.20%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-15 18:25
888sport🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 16:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 16:04
PlayUp🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 22:35
William Hill🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-15 13:44
BoyleSports🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-15 13:44
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-15 19:29
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.39%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-15 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.39%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-15 21:45
Bovada🎯	2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -5.21%E -1.91%K -3.01%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.59%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-15 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯	2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.56%E -2.04%K -3.23%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.69%E -3.21%K -10.20%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 21:55
TAB🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.25%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-15 22:35
Grosvenor🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.25%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.61%E -6.15%K -21.52%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-15 21:40
NordicBet🎯	2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 22:35
Betsson🎯	2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 13:49
Neds🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 13:45
Betway🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 22:39
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.59%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-15 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.69%E -3.21%K -10.20%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-15 22:40
LeoVegas🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-15 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.65%E -4.65%K -15.47%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-09-15 22:19
betano_uk🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-15 22:29
Bet Victor🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-15 22:30
ReBet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.46%E -4.50%K -7.40%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-09-15 22:39
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -11.46%E -4.50%K -7.40%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.61%E -6.15%K -21.52%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-09-15 22:25

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%	0.5%	2026-09-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%	0.5%	2026-09-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%	0.5%	2026-09-15 22:40
Kalshi◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%	0.8%	2026-09-15 20:40
Polymarket◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%	0.8%	2026-09-15 22:40
Novig◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%	0.8%	2026-09-15 22:30
ProphetX◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%	0.8%	2026-09-15 22:40
Matchbook◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%	1.6%	2026-09-15 22:40
BetOpenly◎	2.89I 34.60%NM 34.02%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.98%	1.7%	2026-09-15 22:39
Smarkets◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%	2.1%	2026-09-15 22:30

Pittsburgh Pirates v Milwaukee Brewers

胜负盘

Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)

Milwaukee Brewers (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (10)

博彩交易所 (10)