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Pittsburgh Pirates v Milwaukee Brewers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 44.51%2.25fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.737%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.50%44.53%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2150.00%46.78%46.51%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)
Prediction 55.49%1.80fair odd
EV -0.677%
Edge -0.378%
Kelly -0.857%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.50%55.47%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.721.731.7961.35%58.02%57.80%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 44.51%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 55.49%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.79, with an expected value of -0.677%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -1.63%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.67%E -3.34%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-17 15:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.07%E -0.942%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.79%E -1.01%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-17 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.07%E -0.942%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.12%E -2.99%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-17 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.07%E -0.942%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.12%E -2.99%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-17 03:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.07%E -0.942%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.12%E -2.99%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-17 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.07%E -0.942%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.12%E -2.99%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-17 10:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.07%E -0.942%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.34%E -4.39%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.07%E -0.942%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.45%E -5.12%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-17 04:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.52%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.79%E -1.01%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-17 15:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.96%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.79%E -1.01%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -2.96%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -4.01%E -2.32%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-17 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.96%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.67%E -3.34%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-17 15:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.41%E -1.57%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.677%E -0.378%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.41%E -1.57%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.01%E -2.32%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-17 15:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.85%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-17 16:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.677%E -0.378%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-17 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.677%E -0.378%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -1.79%E -1.01%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-17 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-17 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-17 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.01%E -2.32%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-17 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.01%E -2.32%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-17 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -2.99%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -2.99%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 15:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -2.99%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 16:11 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -2.99%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -2.99%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.67%E -3.34%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.67%E -3.34%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 15:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.67%E -3.34%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.67%E -3.34%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 15:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.78%E -4.04%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 16:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.34%E -4.39%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-17 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.34%E -4.39%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-17 15:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.74%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.74%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.12%E -2.99%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 16:06 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.63%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.63%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.63%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.63%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.63%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.63%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.63%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.63%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 16:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.63%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.63%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.63%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.01%E -2.32%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.63%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.56%E -2.65%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.63%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.56%E -2.65%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.63%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.56%E -2.65%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.63%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.56%E -2.65%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 15:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.79%E -1.01%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-17 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 16:16 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.01%E -2.32%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.78%E -4.04%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-17 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -7.41%E -3.56%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.12%E -2.99%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-17 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -7.41%E -3.56%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.12%E -2.99%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-17 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.41%E -3.56%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.34%E -4.39%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-17 16:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 16:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 16:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -9.19%E -4.51%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -7.34%E -4.39%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-17 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.98%E -5.49%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -9.55%E -5.86%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-17 16:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 43.00% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 57.00% | -1.4% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31% | -0.1% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91% | -0.1% | 2026-09-17 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-17 16:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 1.6% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 1.6% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |