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Pittsburgh Pirates v Milwaukee Brewers

2026-09-17 16:36 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Predicción 45.46%2.20momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.88%45.47%45.43%46.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.092.102.1551.28%47.79%47.62%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 54.54%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -2.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%54.53%54.57%55.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.741.751.8060.61%57.40%57.14%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 45.46%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 54.54%. Para Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.83. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.80, con un valor esperado de -1.82%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.27%E -1.05%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.82%E -1.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-17 01:45
Caesars🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -3.18%E -1.49%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -4.01%E -2.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-16 23:30
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.63%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.01%E -2.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 23:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.63%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.01%E -2.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.63%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 01:50
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.63%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 01:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.63%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 01:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.63%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 01:50
DraftKings🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.63%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.10%E -2.93%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 02:10
Bovada🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 23:25
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.46%E -1.95%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 23:25
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.46%E -1.95%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-17 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.46%E -1.95%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 23:25
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.46%E -1.95%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 23:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 00:10
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 23:30
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 23:30
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 01:30
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 01:50
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 01:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 01:50
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 01:50
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 01:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 02:00
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.10%E -2.93%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 00:08
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.10%E -2.93%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 01:30
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 23:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 23:25
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 23:25
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 23:25
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 23:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 23:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 23:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 23:30
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 01:35
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 01:50
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 01:45
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-17 01:31
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 00:13
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.19%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 23:24
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.01%E -2.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 23:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.19%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 01:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.19%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.46%E -1.95%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 01:31
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.46%E -1.95%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 01:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.10%E -2.93%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 00:10
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -7.27%E -3.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-17 01:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.36%E -5.82%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -10.01%E -6.06%K -15.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket◎2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%0.1%2026-09-17 01:45
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-17 01:50
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-17 02:15
ProphetX◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-09-17 02:20
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%4.3%2026-09-17 02:10
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 45.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%10.1%2026-09-17 00:10