Language:English
Pittsburgh Pirates v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 58.89%1.70fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.635%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.85%58.97%59.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.621.621.6863.69%61.60%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 41.11%2.43fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.556%
Kelly -0.952%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.30%41.15%41.03%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.332.4045.45%43.02%42.92%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 58.89%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 41.11%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.68, with an expected value of -1.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.07%E -0.635%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.33%E -0.556%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-06-14 15:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.57%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.57%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-14 15:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.57%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-14 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.80%E -1.62%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-14 15:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.34%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 13:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 15:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.42%E -2.09%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.62%E -1.99%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 15:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.42%E -2.09%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-14 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -4.01%E -2.46%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.16%E -0.906%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.01%E -2.46%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-14 11:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.01%E -2.46%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-14 15:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.01%E -2.46%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.01%E -2.46%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.86%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-14 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-14 15:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-14 15:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-14 10:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-14 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-14 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.62%E -1.99%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-14 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-14 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-14 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-14 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-14 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-14 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-14 07:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-14 15:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 15:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-14 11:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-14 11:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-14 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.57%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.57%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 15:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 13:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-14 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-14 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.56%E -4.34%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-14 16:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.96%E -4.40%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.91%E -3.53%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-14 15:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.54%E -4.81%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 0.1% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-06-14 16:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65% | 2.6% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |