مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pittsburgh Pirates v Miami Marlins

البداية: 2026-06-14 16:16 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Pittsburgh Pirates 2–4 Miami Marlins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.89%1.70السعر العادل
EV -1.07%
الأفضلية -0.635%
Kelly -1.57%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.85%58.85%58.97%59.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.621.621.6863.69%61.60%61.73%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miami Marlins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.11%2.43السعر العادل
EV -1.33%
الأفضلية -0.556%
Kelly -0.952%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.30%41.15%41.03%43.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.322.332.4045.45%43.02%42.92%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.07%E -0.635%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 16:10
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.33%E -0.556%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.5%2026-06-14 15:50
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.57%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 16:10
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.57%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 15:20
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.57%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 16:10
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 16:10
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 16:10
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 14:20
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.80%E -1.62%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-14 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 15:10
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.66%E -0.991%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.34%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 16:10
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 13:20
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 15:30
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.42%E -2.09%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.62%E -1.99%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 15:10
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.42%E -2.09%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 15:20
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -4.01%E -2.46%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.16%E -0.906%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-14 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.01%E -2.46%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 11:40
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.01%E -2.46%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 15:59
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.01%E -2.46%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 16:10
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.01%E -2.46%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.86%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 15:20
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 15:09
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 10:19
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 11:10
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 16:10
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.62%E -1.99%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 14:20
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 14:20
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 14:30
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 14:20
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 08:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 07:30
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 15:19
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:19
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:20
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 16:10
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 16:10
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 16:10
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 16:10
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 16:10
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 16:10
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 16:10
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 11:40
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 11:40
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 14:30
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.57%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.57%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 16:10
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 16:10
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 16:10
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 16:10
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 16:10
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 15:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 13:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 15:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.56%E -4.34%K -7.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-14 16:08
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.96%E -4.40%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.91%E -3.53%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 15:49
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.54%E -4.81%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 16:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-06-14 16:10
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-06-14 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-06-14 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-06-14 16:10
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-06-14 16:10
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-06-14 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-14 16:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-14 16:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-06-14 16:00
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-06-14 16:10