Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.85
assuming max odds 1.53
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 35.58%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 64.42%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.40%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 19:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 22:28 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV +0.336%E +0.119%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV +0.336%E +0.119%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%EV -0.376%E -0.134%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%EV -2.73%E -1.81%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.376%E -0.134%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-10 20:47 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.376%E -0.134%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.376%E -0.134%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-10 21:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.376%E -0.134%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-10 21:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.376%E -0.134%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.376%E -0.134%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.52%E -6.00%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -0.731%E -0.262%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -1.44%E -0.521%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -2.08%E -1.37%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-10 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -1.80%E -0.652%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.73%E -1.81%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-10 21:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.22%E -1.18%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-10 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-10 21:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-10 20:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-10 20:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-10 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-10 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-10 20:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-10 20:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -4.29%E -1.59%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-10 22:18 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -4.65%E -1.73%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-10 14:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -5.36%E -2.01%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -2.73%E -1.81%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-10 01:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-10 21:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-10 21:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-10 21:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-10 04:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-10 04:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-10 04:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-10 20:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.44%E -0.940%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-10 15:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-10 22:16 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53% | -0.0% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 0.9% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93% | 4.1% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |