La escuela de los momios

Pittsburgh Pirates v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-06-10 22:41 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 9–8 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Predicción 35.58%2.81momio equitativo
EV +1.40%
Ventaja +0.492%
Kelly +0.759%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.41%35.50%35.56%37.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.732.702.8538.46%36.59%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 64.42%1.55momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.940%
Kelly -2.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.95%64.50%64.44%66.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.471.471.5370.42%68.13%68.03%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 22:30
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 22:30
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 22:30
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 19:10
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:30
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:30
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:30
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:28
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:30
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.759%G +0.011%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:30
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV +0.336%E +0.119%K +0.185%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 22:40
GTbets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV +0.336%E +0.119%K +0.185%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 22:39
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%EV -0.376%E -0.134%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%EV -2.73%E -1.81%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-10 22:39
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.376%E -0.134%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 20:47
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.376%E -0.134%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 22:30
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.376%E -0.134%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 21:39
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.376%E -0.134%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 21:39
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.376%E -0.134%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 22:30
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.376%E -0.134%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.52%E -6.00%K -20.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 22:30
MyBookie.ag2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -0.731%E -0.262%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-10 22:39
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -1.44%E -0.521%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -2.08%E -1.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-10 14:30
BetUS2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -1.80%E -0.652%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-10 22:39
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.73%E -1.81%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 22:39
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-10 22:20
ReBet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-10 22:39
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-10 22:19
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 21:19
Bovada2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.22%E -1.18%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 22:39
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 22:39
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 22:20
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 21:30
Fanatics2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 21:39
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 20:50
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 20:50
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 20:50
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 20:50
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 22:39
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 22:40
Dabble (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 22:30
DraftKings2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -4.29%E -1.59%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:18
Marathon Bet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -4.65%E -1.73%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 14:29
FanDuel2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -5.36%E -2.01%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -2.73%E -1.81%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-10 16:10
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 01:49
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 21:59
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:40
Betway2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:39
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 21:29
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 21:29
888sport2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 04:20
Mr Green (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 04:20
888sport (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 04:20
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 22:39
SportsBet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 16:10
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-10 20:20
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.44%E -0.940%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-10 15:49
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 22:16
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%-0.0%2026-06-10 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-06-10 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-06-10 22:30
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-06-10 22:40
Polymarket2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-06-10 22:30
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-06-10 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-06-10 22:40
Novig2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-06-10 22:40
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-06-10 22:40
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%4.1%2026-06-10 22:40