Language:English
Pittsburgh Pirates v Los Angeles Dodgers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 38.32%2.61fair odd
EV -0.374%
Edge -0.144%
Kelly -0.234%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.74%38.55%38.42%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.6043.48%40.00%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)
Prediction 61.68%1.62fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.818%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%61.45%61.58%63.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.541.6066.67%64.75%64.94%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 38.32%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 61.68%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -0.374%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.374%E -0.144%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-11 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.374%E -0.144%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.374%E -0.144%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 21:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -0.758%E -0.292%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-11 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.14%E -0.442%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-11 22:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.14%E -0.442%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-11 22:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.14%E -0.442%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-11 22:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.91%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.92%E -1.21%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-11 22:07 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -1.91%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-11 22:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-11 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-11 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-11 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.48%E -4.98%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-11 22:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-11 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.06%E -1.21%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.06%E -1.21%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-11 22:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-11 22:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-11 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-11 22:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-11 22:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-11 22:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-11 22:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-11 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-11 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-11 22:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-11 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-11 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-11 22:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-11 22:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-11 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-11 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-11 22:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-11 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-11 22:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.98%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.97%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-11 22:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.97%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-11 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.97%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-11 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.97%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-11 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.36%E -2.17%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-11 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -6.12%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.31%E -0.818%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-11 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.12%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.12%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-11 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.12%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-11 22:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.12%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-11 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-11 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-11 20:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.95%E -4.24%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-11 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.95%E -4.24%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-11 22:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.87%E -5.16%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.87%E -5.16%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-11 22:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 0.4% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 0.4% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-06-11 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-06-11 22:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-06-11 22:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-06-11 22:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 1.6% | 2026-06-11 22:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62% | 1.7% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46% | 3.0% | 2026-06-11 22:40 |