La escuela de los momios

Pittsburgh Pirates v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-06-11 22:41 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 6–8 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Predicción 38.32%2.61momio equitativo
EV -0.374%
Ventaja -0.144%
Kelly -0.234%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.74%38.55%38.42%40.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.502.502.6043.48%40.00%40.00%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 61.68%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.818%
Kelly -2.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.74%61.45%61.58%63.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.541.541.6066.67%64.75%64.94%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.374%E -0.144%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-11 22:29
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.374%E -0.144%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-11 22:40
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.374%E -0.144%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 21:00
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -0.758%E -0.292%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-11 22:30
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.14%E -0.442%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-11 22:29
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.14%E -0.442%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-11 22:29
BetAnything2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.14%E -0.442%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-11 22:39
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.91%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.92%E -1.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-11 22:07
Bovada2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -1.91%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-11 22:39
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-11 22:39
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 22:40
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 22:40
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 22:40
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 22:40
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 22:40
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 22:40
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 22:40
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 22:39
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.29%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.48%E -4.98%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 22:29
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-11 22:30
MyBookie.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.06%E -1.21%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-11 22:40
DraftKings2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.06%E -1.21%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-11 22:39
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-11 22:29
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 22:10
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 22:19
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 22:20
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 22:08
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-11 22:29
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-11 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-11 22:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-11 22:30
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-11 22:30
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 22:40
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 22:30
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 22:39
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 22:39
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 22:39
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 22:39
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 22:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-11 22:20
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-11 22:40
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-11 22:40
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 22:39
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 22:40
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.98%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-11 22:40
SportsBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.97%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 22:09
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.97%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 22:00
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.97%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 22:30
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.97%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 22:30
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.36%E -2.17%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 22:39
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -6.12%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.31%E -0.818%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-11 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.12%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-11 17:10
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.12%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 21:59
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.12%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 22:39
Dabble (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.12%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 21:50
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-11 22:40
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 13:19
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-11 20:19
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.95%E -4.24%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 22:39
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.95%E -4.24%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-11 22:39
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.87%E -5.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-11 22:40
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.87%E -5.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-11 22:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-06-11 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-06-11 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-06-11 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-06-11 22:30
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-06-11 22:30
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-06-11 22:30
BetOpenly2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%1.6%2026-06-11 22:39
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%1.7%2026-06-11 22:40
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%3.0%2026-06-11 22:40