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Pittsburgh Pirates v Kansas City Royals

2026-09-19 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prediction 51.72%1.93fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.635%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.52%51.71%51.71%52.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.851.851.9156.82%54.06%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 48.28%2.07fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.983%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.12%48.29%48.29%49.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.971.962.0353.19%50.74%50.89%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 51.72%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 48.28%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.91, with an expected value of -1.21%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.21%E -0.635%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.96%E -1.47%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-19 14:10
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -1.21%E -0.635%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -5.86%E -3.00%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 16:30
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.25%E -1.19%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.99%E -0.983%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Everygame🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.25%E -1.19%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.99%E -0.983%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-19 14:17
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.76%E -1.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.99%E -0.983%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 14:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.76%E -1.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.99%E -0.983%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 14:01
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.76%E -1.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.99%E -0.983%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 14:01
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.76%E -1.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.99%E -0.983%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 14:01
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -2.76%E -1.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -2.96%E -1.47%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-19 14:15
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.28%E -1.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 19:44
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.28%E -1.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 19:43
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.28%E -1.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 14:21
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.28%E -1.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 16:44
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.28%E -1.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.89%E -2.48%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.28%E -1.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.37%E -2.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 19:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.28%E -1.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.37%E -2.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 19:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.28%E -1.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.37%E -2.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 19:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.28%E -1.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.37%E -2.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 19:24
betfred_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.28%E -1.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.86%E -3.00%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.28%E -1.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.86%E -3.00%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 14:01
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.80%E -2.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.41%E -2.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 16:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -2.96%E -1.47%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 15:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.41%E -2.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.41%E -2.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.89%E -2.48%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 19:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.37%E -2.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 19:09
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.37%E -2.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.37%E -2.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.37%E -2.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.86%E -3.00%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 14:05
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.86%E -3.00%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 19:24
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.86%E -3.00%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.86%E -3.00%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 19:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.86%E -3.00%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.86%E -3.00%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 19:24
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.86%E -3.00%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 19:24
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.86%E -3.00%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 19:24
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.34%E -3.27%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 19:24
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.83%E -2.63%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.41%E -2.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 19:19
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.83%E -2.63%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.89%E -2.48%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 16:29
NordicBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.83%E -2.63%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.89%E -2.48%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Betsson🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.83%E -2.63%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.89%E -2.48%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.35%E -2.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 19:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.35%E -2.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.35%E -2.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 14:01
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.35%E -2.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 14:01
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.35%E -2.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 19:49
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.35%E -2.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.41%E -2.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 19:19
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.35%E -2.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.86%E -3.00%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 19:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.35%E -2.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.82%E -3.53%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 19:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.35%E -2.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.82%E -3.53%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 19:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.35%E -2.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.82%E -3.53%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 19:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.87%E -3.22%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.37%E -2.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.87%E -3.22%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.37%E -2.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 19:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.90%E -3.83%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.48%E -1.23%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 19:19
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.90%E -3.83%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.90%E -3.83%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.34%E -3.27%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 19:19
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -7.42%E -4.14%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -9.24%E -4.91%K -10.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 19:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.78%EV -8.97%E -5.10%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -8.75%E -4.63%K -9.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 19:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%0.1%2026-09-19 19:29
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-09-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-09-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-09-19 19:39
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-09-19 19:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-09-19 19:30
ProphetX◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%0.9%2026-09-19 19:19
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-09-19 19:30