Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Kansas City Royals

2026-09-19 22:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Predicción 51.89%1.93momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.746%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.05%51.93%51.87%53.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.831.831.9058.14%54.62%54.64%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 48.11%2.08momio equitativo
EV -0.884%
Ventaja -0.429%
Kelly -0.834%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.56%48.07%48.13%48.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.892.002.002.0652.91%50.07%50.00%48.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 51.89%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 48.11%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.08. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.06, con un valor esperado de -0.884%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -1.42%E -0.746%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -2.81%E -1.39%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-19 20:35
Everygame🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.94%E -1.02%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.33%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-19 14:17
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.85%E -0.905%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-19 20:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.33%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 14:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.33%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 14:01
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.33%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 14:01
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.33%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 14:01
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -3.29%E -1.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-19 14:15
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.97%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 19:44
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.97%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 19:43
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.97%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 14:21
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.97%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 16:44
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -2.97%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -5.21%E -2.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 14:00
betfred_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.97%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.18%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.97%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.18%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 14:01
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.49%E -1.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 16:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.29%E -1.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 15:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.70%E -2.91%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.70%E -2.91%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.70%E -2.91%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.18%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 14:05
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.53%E -2.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.25%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:28
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.53%E -2.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 20:39
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.53%E -2.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.21%E -2.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 16:29
NordicBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.53%E -2.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.21%E -2.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Betsson🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.53%E -2.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.21%E -2.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.53%E -2.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.70%E -2.91%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 20:34
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 14:01
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:15
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 14:01
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 20:39
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 19:19
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.18%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 19:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.14%E -3.70%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 19:09
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.10%E -4.24%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 20:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.57%E -3.06%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.70%E -2.91%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.57%E -3.06%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.70%E -2.91%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 19:19
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -0.884%E -0.429%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -0.884%E -0.429%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 20:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -0.884%E -0.429%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -0.884%E -0.429%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 20:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.81%E -1.39%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 20:20
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 20:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.66%E -3.43%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 19:19
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -7.13%E -3.98%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.37%E -0.666%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:25
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -7.13%E -3.98%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.37%E -0.666%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -7.13%E -3.98%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.37%E -0.666%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -7.13%E -3.98%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.37%E -0.666%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:25
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -7.13%E -3.98%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.37%E -0.666%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:25
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -7.13%E -3.98%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.37%E -0.666%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:24
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.64%E -4.29%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -1.85%E -0.905%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 20:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.68%E -4.93%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -2.81%E -1.39%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 20:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.68%E -4.93%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -2.81%E -1.39%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.78%EV -8.68%E -4.93%K -11.42%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -9.06%E -4.80%K -10.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 19:44
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -10.76%E -6.25%K -14.94%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.70%E -2.91%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 20:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%0.1%2026-09-19 19:29
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-09-19 20:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-09-19 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-09-19 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-09-19 20:45
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-09-19 20:50
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-09-19 20:44
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-19 20:44
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%2.7%2026-09-19 20:30