Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Detroit Tigers

2026-08-19 16:36 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prediction 57.15%1.75fair odd
EV +0.008%
Edge +0.005%
Kelly +0.011%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.92%57.15%57.14%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.671.671.7562.11%59.82%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 42.85%2.33fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.626%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%42.85%42.86%44.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.222.202.3046.51%44.96%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 57.15%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 42.85%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.7499. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.7500, producing a positive expected value of +0.008%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV +0.008%E +0.005%K +0.011%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-18 19:00
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.44%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 18:33
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.44%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 19:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.44%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 19:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.72%E -1.20%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.72%E -1.20%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-18 18:30
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.99%E -2.38%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.15%E -1.40%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 18:15
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.38%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 18:30
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.15%E -1.40%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 19:14
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 18:29
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 18:30
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:29
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 18:30
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 18:29
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 18:15
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 18:20
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 18:28
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 18:30
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.99%E -4.96%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-18 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89%0.1%2026-08-18 18:15
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-18 19:55
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-18 18:15
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%10.1%2026-08-18 18:30
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%10.2%2026-08-18 18:45

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