默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Detroit Tigers

开赛时间: 2026-08-19 16:36 UTC

最终结果: Pittsburgh Pirates 4–3 Detroit Tigers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)

预测 58.80%1.70公平赔率
EV -1.22%
优势 -0.728%
Kelly -1.80%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.68

博彩公司预测分布
57.59%58.80%58.67%60.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.561.631.631.6864.10%61.49%61.35%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

Detroit Tigers (客队)

预测 41.20%2.43公平赔率
EV +0.539%
优势 +0.221%
Kelly +0.375%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 2.44

博彩公司预测分布
40.00%41.20%41.33%42.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.322.302.4445.45%43.11%43.48%40.98%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pittsburgh Pirates (主队):58.80%;Detroit Tigers (客队):41.20%。 对于“Detroit Tigers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.43。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.44,对应+0.539%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%EV -2.99%E -1.81%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%EV +0.539%E +0.221%K +0.375%G +0.002%1.6%2026-08-19 16:15
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -3.58%E -2.18%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV +0.539%E +0.221%K +0.375%G +0.002%2.0%2026-08-19 16:10
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.99%E -1.81%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +0.127%E +0.052%K +0.089%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-19 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -4.75%E -2.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV +0.127%E +0.052%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-19 13:20
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.99%E -1.81%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.285%E -0.118%K -0.201%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-19 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -3.58%E -2.18%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -0.285%E -0.118%K -0.201%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -3.58%E -2.18%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -0.285%E -0.118%K -0.201%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.81%E -1.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.11%E -0.462%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-19 07:09
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.99%E -1.81%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.11%E -0.462%K -0.792%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 12:17
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.58%E -2.18%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.11%E -0.462%K -0.792%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 16:09
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.52%E -0.636%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-19 16:05
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -3.58%E -2.18%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -1.52%E -0.636%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-19 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.75%E -2.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.93%E -0.812%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.34%E -3.32%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.34%E -0.989%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 15:54
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.34%E -3.32%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.34%E -0.989%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 15:54
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.34%E -3.32%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.34%E -0.989%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 16:33
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.22%E -0.728%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -3.17%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-19 15:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.16%E -2.55%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.17%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 15:30
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.34%E -3.32%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.17%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 15:45
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.34%E -3.32%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.17%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 16:33
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.93%E -3.70%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.17%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 10:10
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.93%E -3.70%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.17%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.93%E -3.70%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.17%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.93%E -3.70%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.17%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 14:09
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.52%E -4.10%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.17%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 16:25
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.34%E -3.32%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.58%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 14:10
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.99%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-19 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.99%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-19 14:30
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.34%E -3.32%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.99%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.58%E -2.18%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.41%E -1.90%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.58%E -2.18%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.41%E -1.90%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.81%E -1.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-19 05:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.99%E -1.81%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 16:35
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.99%E -1.81%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 15:05
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.16%E -2.55%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 15:30
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.16%E -2.55%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.16%E -2.55%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 14:30
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.16%E -2.55%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 14:30
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.16%E -2.55%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.16%E -2.55%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.16%E -2.55%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.75%E -2.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 07:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.75%E -2.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 08:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.34%E -3.32%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.69%E -4.90%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.16%E -2.55%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.05%E -2.66%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 15:06
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.75%E -2.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.05%E -2.66%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.16%E -2.55%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.47%E -2.85%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 15:09
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.16%E -2.55%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.47%E -2.85%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 15:04
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.99%E -1.81%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 16:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.58%E -2.18%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.58%E -2.18%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 16:30
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.58%E -2.18%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 16:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.58%E -2.18%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 16:34
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.75%E -2.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.75%E -2.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.34%E -3.32%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-19 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.34%E -3.32%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-19 14:30
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.93%E -3.70%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -7.10%E -4.50%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.70%E -3.44%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 16:09
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.28%E -5.31%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.11%E -3.64%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-19 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.75%E -2.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 16:35
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.93%E -3.70%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 16:28
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.93%E -3.70%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 16:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.32%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.68%0.3%2026-08-19 16:34
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-19 16:35
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-19 15:20
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-19 14:35
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-19 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-19 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-19 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-19 16:35
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-08-19 16:35
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-08-19 16:15