Language:English
Pittsburgh Pirates v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 52.44%1.91fair odd
EV +0.154%
Edge +0.081%
Kelly +0.169%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%52.43%52.48%53.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.831.831.9156.50%54.60%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 47.56%2.10fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.746%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.61%47.57%47.52%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.992.002.0752.36%50.16%50.00%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 52.44%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 47.56%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.907. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.910, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.154%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV +0.154%E +0.081%K +0.169%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -6.78%E -3.46%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.94%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.02%E -0.980%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -1.94%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -1.94%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.78%E -3.46%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -1.94%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.78%E -3.46%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.94%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.54%E -0.746%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.54%E -0.746%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.54%E -0.746%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.54%E -0.746%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.02%E -0.980%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.02%E -0.980%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.73%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.73%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.52%E -1.91%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.52%E -1.91%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.50%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-03 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.40%E -2.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 02:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.97%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 15:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 05:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:18 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.50%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.50%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 06:26 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 23:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.78%E -3.46%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.14%E -3.43%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.50%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.66%E -3.74%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.19%E -4.06%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 12:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.61% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.39% | -0.5% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12% | 0.4% | 2026-05-03 17:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 05:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94% | 3.3% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |