La scuola delle quote

Pittsburgh Pirates v Cincinnati Reds

Inizio: 2026-05-03 17:36 UTC

Finale: Pittsburgh Pirates 1–0 Cincinnati Reds

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Casa)

Previsione 52.44%1.91quota equa
EV +0.154%
Vantaggio +0.081%
Kelly +0.169%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.53%52.43%52.48%53.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.831.831.9156.50%54.60%54.64%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.56%2.10quota equa
EV -1.54%
Vantaggio -0.746%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.61%47.57%47.52%49.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.911.992.002.0752.36%50.16%50.00%48.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV +0.154%E +0.081%K +0.169%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -6.78%E -3.46%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 17:25
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.94%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.02%E -0.980%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 17:20
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -1.94%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -1.94%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.78%E -3.46%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -1.94%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.78%E -3.46%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 17:25
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.94%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 16:40
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.54%E -0.746%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:30
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.54%E -0.746%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 17:15
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.54%E -0.746%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 17:15
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.54%E -0.746%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.02%E -0.980%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 17:15
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.02%E -0.980%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 17:15
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 17:35
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:15
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:25
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:25
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:25
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:25
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:25
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:25
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:25
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:25
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.73%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.73%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Betsson1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.52%E -1.91%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:15
NordicBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.52%E -1.91%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:15
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.50%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 15:15
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 18:00
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.40%E -2.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 17:20
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 15:35
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 22:40
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 22:40
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 02:55
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 17:35
MyBookie.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.97%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 15:24
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 17:25
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 17:15
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 17:35
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 05:40
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:18
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.50%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:15
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.50%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 06:26
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:25
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 18:05
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 18:05
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 18:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 18:40
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.78%E -3.46%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 15:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.61%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 17:20
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.14%E -3.43%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.50%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 15:15
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.66%E -3.74%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:20
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.19%E -4.06%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 12:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.61%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.39%-0.5%2026-05-03 17:15
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12%0.4%2026-05-03 17:34
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%0.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-03 05:35
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-03 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-03 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-03 17:10
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-05-03 17:35
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%3.3%2026-05-03 17:35