Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-05-02 20:10 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 17–7 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 55.54%1.80odd justa
EV -1.14%
Vantagem -0.642%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.95%55.37%55.64%56.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.731.731.7859.88%57.96%57.80%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 44.46%2.25odd justa
EV +0.040%
Vantagem +0.018%
Kelly +0.032%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.61%44.63%44.36%46.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.152.152.2548.78%46.57%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 55.54%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 44.46%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.249. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.250, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.040%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.040%E +0.018%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-02 19:59
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.405%E -0.181%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-02 20:00
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.25%E -1.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.29%E -0.583%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-02 19:35
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.29%E -0.583%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.29%E -0.583%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.29%E -0.583%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 19:55
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.25%E -1.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.74%E -0.787%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 19:05
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.18%E -0.992%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 20:04
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.07%E -1.41%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 20:05
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.07%E -1.41%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 19:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 19:48
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 19:43
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 16:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 18:44
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 15:55
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 19:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 12:45
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 19:30
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 20:04
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 19:40
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 19:30
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 19:30
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 20:04
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 20:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.14%E -3.63%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 20:03
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 19:30
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 20:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 18:35
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 19:05
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:15
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:35
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:35
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:10
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.14%E -0.642%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 20:05
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 14:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 03:29
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 20:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-02 19:45
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-02 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-02 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-02 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-02 19:45
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-01 20:15
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-02 06:05
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-05-02 20:05
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-05-02 20:04
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-02 19:45