La scuola delle quote

Pittsburgh Pirates v Cincinnati Reds

Inizio: 2026-05-02 20:10 UTC

Finale: Pittsburgh Pirates 17–7 Cincinnati Reds

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Casa)

Previsione 55.54%1.80quota equa
EV -1.14%
Vantaggio -0.642%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.95%55.37%55.64%56.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.731.731.7859.88%57.96%57.80%56.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.46%2.25quota equa
EV +0.040%
Vantaggio +0.018%
Kelly +0.032%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.61%44.63%44.36%46.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.152.152.2548.78%46.57%46.51%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.040%E +0.018%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-02 19:59
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.405%E -0.181%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-02 20:00
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.25%E -1.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.29%E -0.583%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-02 19:35
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.29%E -0.583%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 20:04
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.29%E -0.583%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 19:55
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.29%E -0.583%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 19:55
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.25%E -1.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.74%E -0.787%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 19:05
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.18%E -0.992%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 20:04
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.07%E -1.41%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 20:05
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.07%E -1.41%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 19:49
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 18:35
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 17:00
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 19:48
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 19:43
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 16:14
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 18:44
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 15:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 19:30
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 12:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 19:30
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 20:04
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 19:40
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 19:30
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 20:05
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 19:30
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 19:30
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 20:04
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 20:04
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:05
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.14%E -3.63%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 20:03
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 20:04
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 19:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 20:04
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 18:35
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 18:35
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 19:05
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:15
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:40
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:35
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:35
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:10
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.14%E -0.642%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 20:05
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 14:55
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 03:29
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 20:00
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-02 19:45
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-02 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-02 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-02 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-02 19:45
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-01 20:15
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-02 06:05
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-05-02 20:05
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-05-02 20:04
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-02 19:45