L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Pirates v Cincinnati Reds

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 20:10 UTC

Score final : Pittsburgh Pirates 17–7 Cincinnati Reds

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 55.54%1.80cote équitable
EV -1.14%
Avantage -0.642%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.95%55.37%55.64%56.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.731.731.7859.88%57.96%57.80%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.46%2.25cote équitable
EV +0.040%
Avantage +0.018%
Kelly +0.032%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.61%44.63%44.36%46.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.152.152.2548.78%46.57%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.040%E +0.018%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-02 19:59
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.405%E -0.181%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-02 20:00
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.25%E -1.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.29%E -0.583%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-02 19:35
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.29%E -0.583%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 20:04
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.29%E -0.583%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 19:55
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.29%E -0.583%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 19:55
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.25%E -1.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.74%E -0.787%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 19:05
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.18%E -0.992%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 20:04
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.07%E -1.41%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 20:05
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.07%E -1.41%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 19:49
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 18:35
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 17:00
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 19:48
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 19:43
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 16:14
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 18:44
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 15:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 19:30
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 12:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 19:30
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 20:04
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 19:40
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 19:30
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 20:05
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 19:30
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 19:30
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 20:04
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 20:04
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:05
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.14%E -3.63%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 20:03
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 20:04
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 19:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 20:04
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 18:35
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 18:35
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:35
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 19:05
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:15
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:40
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:35
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:35
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:10
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.14%E -0.642%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 20:05
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 14:55
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 03:29
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 20:00
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-02 19:45
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-02 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-02 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-02 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-02 19:45
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-01 20:15
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-02 06:05
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-05-02 20:05
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-05-02 20:04
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-02 19:45