Language:English
Pittsburgh Pirates v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 49.41%2.02fair odd
EV +0.804%
Edge +0.394%
Kelly +0.773%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.37%49.47%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.951.942.0453.48%51.38%51.55%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 50.59%1.98fair odd
EV -0.345%
Edge -0.175%
Kelly -0.355%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.49%50.63%50.53%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.881.871.9756.82%53.31%53.48%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 49.41%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 50.59%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.804%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV +0.804%E +0.394%K +0.773%G +0.006% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV +0.804%E +0.394%K +0.773%G +0.006% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -0.185%E -0.091%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -0.185%E -0.091%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 16:03 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.93%E -4.36%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.94%E -4.97%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%EV -1.36%E -0.696%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.86%E -0.960%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.86%E -0.960%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 14:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.66%E -1.35%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -2.66%E -1.35%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.94%E -4.97%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -2.66%E -1.35%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.94%E -4.97%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.61%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.851%E -0.434%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 16:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.15%E -1.61%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.86%E -0.960%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 16:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -0.345%E -0.175%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -0.345%E -0.175%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -0.345%E -0.175%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -10.97%E -6.23%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 16:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 16:43 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.39%E -2.32%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.18%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 16:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.18%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 16:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 17:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.10%E -3.78%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.10%E -3.78%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.60%E -4.06%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.87% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.13% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 16:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 1.5% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 1.8% | 2026-08-16 17:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |